Showing posts with label technology. Show all posts
Showing posts with label technology. Show all posts

Sunday, October 25, 2015

The Keshe Technologies - Part 1 - Fact or Fiction

A friend of mine has contacted me about the Keshe Technologies recently and was very excited about the prospect of creating free sustainable energy from what seems nothing.

Of course, I was curious as I never dismiss some claim off hand.  I always prefer doing reasonable research to see if there is any validity to the claims.

What was really interesting to me is that on the surface there are actual valid scientific principles at play here (cold plasma reactions, electrical charges, magnetic fields and whatnot AND most importantly, my friend had already purchased 2-3 Keshe plasma generator devices to test and was inviting me to assist him in checking it all out and see if it is really (or not) hands on.

How can I pass this up right?

So first thing I did was to do a cursory "credibility sweep" of Mr. Keshe (he has no doctorate from what I can tell so not sure why people call him Dr... unless as a sign of respect). 

He had applied for multiple patents, has published a number of books and papers.... published in this case meaning that he released to the public some ideas and documents explaining things, not the scientific publication I was expecting which would have been peer-reviewed.... 

This means that aside from the provided blueprints and the actual devices that are shipped from the Keshe Foundation, there is little to no way for anyone to evaluate the validity of the claims made by the Keshe Foundation.

I talk about much of this at length in my vlog below:



As far as I can tell, the man is either delusional or a clumsy visionary.  I guess he could be a scam artist, but since he's distributing devices and seems to have sold a few recently, its a pretty risky way to continue a scam.

He's also made some truly outrageous claims from out of nowhere such as:
  1. He's the Messiah declared in religious scriptures
  2. There will be a 10-20 Richtor scale earthquake coming to Panama which will split North and South America in 2
  3. The fundamental way our scientists see the subatomic particles within Neutrons/Protons is wrong.  He claiming 40 years experience and research in the field would be right.
I do however love his ideology of giving the tech freely to the world governments and the individuals in order to get the world in a state of World Peace without a need for governments. 

At least that's something we do agree on.  Though I think many other pre-existing technologies can be leveraged fully to bring about world peace... without the requirement of Free Energy devices.  i.e. nowadays each house can generate their own power using existing technologies like solar, wind, water etc...

In any case, we will see if we receive the generator devices, then do the necessary tests and also pick them apart to see if there is any funny business within... and then I'll report back in a blog.

I'll then get back to this topic in a few weeks when all this is done with a verdict:

Fact or Fiction..... ?

Monday, October 19, 2015

How to succeed in business without financing

Most people that start their first business think:  I need money to pay for all this stuff.

The reason being, they think about what a business looks like 3-5 years into operations.

As entrepreneurs, we have to understand that things start at a much smaller scale with what we call a Minimum Viable Product (MVP) that you can create using the means and people you have on hand, and perhaps some funds you can gather from your own house, properties, friends and family.

In fact investors will very unlikely invest in a business that hasn't gone through this phase, where you can demonstrate you are motivated enough to go through these first thin and lean steps, and succeed at generating revenues that can scale.

Besides, 90% of business that succeed were never funded initially.  They may and likely were funded later on for growth, far beyond the first revenues have been generated. 

And these funds are raised at a time when its not needed for the survival of the business... which makes investors super comfortable providing funds to your business at a low % of equity or % of interest (depending if its equity financing (Angel or Venture Capital etc....) or debt financing (banks etc...)).

We are lucky today that nowadays, if we want to build an IT business, the costs are quite small
 
We can see here that for the same company that would cost $5M to get fully underway now costs less than $5k to get the same distance.

This is mostly because of the Open Source movement and concept as well as cloud connectivity and due to a bunch of software resources, engines that really make it easy for just about anyone to get things going without hiring programmers or building complex custom software really early on.

The key is to go intelligently, step by step, getting revenues as soon as possible, and scaling from there.

One important aspect even if you do have a step by step plan, is to find an advisor that has gone through the steps to success in your business type before so he or she can guide you in which steps to go through first, second, third and give you the right timing so your energies, efforts and money is expended in a smart way.  This is also super key.

I'm of course often available as a consultant to help people out in any way I can (just contact me, and ask)!

There is a lot more to it, but in a nutshell, this is the principle to get things done without early funding.  I talk a lot more about it and give direct business examples from my own experience  and a couple other examples in the video below:



Be well, and enjoy getting things started small, and the right way!

Monday, October 8, 2012

The Technological Singularity and the Future

According to Ray Kurzweil and Peter Diamandis of the Singularity University, the technological Singularity is:

The point where Artificial Intelligence surpasses human intelligence. They estimate it happening in 2029.

Here is the original definition by science fiction author, Vernor Vinge, who described it as a point in time where “…we will have the technological means to create superhuman intelligence. Shortly after, the human era will be ended.”

He continues:

“I think it's fair to call this event a singularity. It is a point where our models must be discarded and a new reality rules. As we move closer and closer to this point, it will loom vaster and vaster over human affairs till the notion becomes a commonplace. Yet when it finally happens it may still be a great surprise and a greater unknown."

So very enigmatic… and a little scary. In reality, even today we don’t really know what will happen near or beyond the point of technological singularity.

I discuss the subject matter in this video: 



Let’s examine some laws and human history for a bit.

Moore’s Law of computing says the number of transistors on integrated circuits, which translates into memory, speed, capacity, computer intelligence etc… doubles approximately every two years. This has been going on since the first computers appearing in the 1950’s.

Why is Moore’s Law’s computing power doubling every 2 years so consistent after over 60 years of computer improvements? Well, because we’ve been using computers to build the next generation computers.

If you are fond of math let’s look at how Moore’s Law applies:

The first UNIVAC computer in 1951 would be able to make about 2000 simple additions or subtractions per second. Of course, that’s way faster than any human can calculate. So UNIVAC was great for accelerating calculations and would not need any sleep. Therefore computers became a complement to our lives, allowing us to focus on the more creative aspects of work while the computers assisted in processing speed.

According to Moore’s Law though, every 2 years after 1951, the computing speed doubled. Therefore, for each 2 years after 1951, the amount of calculations per second would double. This means in 1971, 20 years later (10 2 year cycles, increasing the amount of calculations each cycle), the 2000 calculations per second in 1951 would have been increased by 2 to the power 10 (2000 x 2^10 milliseconds = nearly 2 million calculations per second). Let’s now warp to today, which starting off in 1971 is 21 2 year cycles further down the line, where the speed of computing has probably increased by another 2^21 times. This means about 4 x 10^12 calculations per second.

Well guess what, the fastest computer (the K computer) on Earth today is Japanese and is 2500 times faster than that at 10 x 10^15 calculations per second. That is a 10 with 15 zeros. However, our desktop computers are pretty close to the Moore’s Law’s predicted speed.

Ok, let’s now look at the future near the point of Singularity… The fastest computer will be 2^8 times faster than one in 2013 (singularity being predicted for 2029). That’s 256 times the K computer’s speed. I won’t even write down the number but there are 18 zeros now.

Feel outmatched by our little mobile devices?

Well you shouldn’t because our brain, though structured differently, can execute 2 x 10^16 calculations per second. You’re just not aware of all the power sitting inside your skull and it is attached to the rest of our body, which let’s face it, does a lot more for us than just compute. 2 x 10^16 calculations per second is currently more than what the K computer can achieve by a factor of 10.

So in 2029, computers will presumably be able to compute 100 times faster than our own brain, hence the theory we can make them intelligent machines, and not only in speed but in creativity too.

Now let’s look back just a little at what humanity has accomplished with the Internet:

- The Internet was really born in the 1960’s as a government funded project along with some private firms to create a stable distributed network of early computers. At that time it was a closed circuit and really just experimental.

- In the 1980’s, more government funds and private commercial efforts brought it to the public for the first time merging a few emergent networks together. This network was stabilized into a single system in 1995, creating the ISP system we know of today.

- In the mid 1990’s, the eCommerce boom and web site revolution generated massive amounts of available information discoverable on the Web.

- Google incorporated in 1998 with a single product, the Google Search engine, and dominated over the others because it was just a superior use of the available technology at the time.

- In 1999 Napster became famous for peer to peer network systems and caused lots of issues in the traditional music industry.

- Internet crash of 2000-2001 where Internet businesses were over evaluated and many perished, giving birth to some solid internet business models.

- 2001 to 2012. Growth and maturation of the Internet as a separate “world”. i.e. Facebook, Pinterest, LinkedIn, Twitter are now places people “live”. Also, people can live complete virtual lives on the Internet through social and game software like Second Life, Entropia Universe and other 3D games where you can have a home, clothing, children and do all sorts of “real life” activities.

- In 2010 was even the first low orbit Internet connection made when astronaut T.J. Carter posted his first unassisted Twitter update from the International Space Station, expanding the Internet to orbital space.

The point is, it took us over 40 years to structure the Internet to a form of maturity when the bubble burst near the year 2000. Then it took only 12 years to go from online tool to immersive experience and carrying the Web in our pockets.

Mobile phone technology followed a similar trend from the 1950’s to today, where now our pocket devices are almost as powerful as our desktop computers and are fully internet capable.

Today through Skype, a free voice over IP app, we can place a free call to Japan on my mobile device and speak as long as I want for free. This alone was unthinkable 10 years ago when everybody wanted to become rich through the Internet explosion.

Today, I can share a video of an incident happening in the middle of nowhere and stream it directly to Youtube and have people and media alike around the world capture that as news within seconds. Youtube by the way was born only 7 years ago.

Today, 1 person out of 4 is connected to the Internet. That’s close to 2 billion people. It is estimated that by the year 2020, 66% of the world, more than 3 billion people at that time will have regular internet access and almost all of them will be accessing it from mobile devices to boot!

This means that 2/3 of the world will be able to get information, tools, software and much more from most other brains in the world. There will be no more secrets and there sure will be way more understanding between us, and a lot more people will be collaborating together on projects across borders.

Now let’s also look at the Open source movement. Prior to the year 2000, if you wanted to create software, you needed a company to do so and you needed to buy the software just like any other product. Now, most people with a little technical knowledge can create software on their own or very easily on their desktops. Right now, making a new piece of software requires a single person, a normal computer and in most cases free tools from the web and boom a few hours later, there is a new game, or application floating on iTunes , the Android store, or the web ready to be freely downloaded. Software creation has been roughly following Moore’s Law and has been following the same pattern of evolution as that of the computer and handheld devices.

This acceleration and building tech on top of technology is very exciting and brings us closer and closer to the moment of singularity we spoke about earlier.

Scientists have been working on nanorobots for years. These are robots that are small enough to enter the bloodstream, enter cells and even manipulate matter at an atomic level. This is very cool stuff where biological molecules are used as motors to move them around and DNA as power and memory device. Yet thanks to computer and software progressing fast they could eventually have a wireless connection, memory, reprogramming capability and the ability to think on their own intelligently. Because these little buggers will be able to manipulate matter at an atomic level, it means they can be programmed to replicate to handle bigger jobs.

Don’t worry, these are not expected to be in application until… well, around 2030 or so, where they will be smarter than the average human anyway, so they will probably not normally mess things up…

Imagine having a few of these things at hand. And say you want a new shirt made out of a certain non-allergenic material you like. Now what you will do is go on the Internet and look for the shirt program you want, likely programmed by some guys in their basement in Indonesia as an Open source project or for fun. Give it a bunch of junk materials, like recycling and garbage, some air and dirt if you have it, and it will reproduce enough nanobots to build the shirt in the color you wanted in a few minutes using the chemical structure you wanted (pollution free, allergen free and what have you) by consuming the garbage you gave it. Heck, if the shirt doesn’t fit perfectly, you can always order the nanobots to disassemble it to harmless chemicals, or even lunch. When their job is done you can order them into a little container for later use.

Using your imagination, we can think of other applications like food built from waste, surgery executed without knives or needles and power generation with absolutely no environmental consequence.

What does that mean for our society?

- If information is readily available to anyone at any time from any source, official or not.

- If Artificial Intelligence surpasses human Intelligence

- You can make anything out of anything using super intelligent nanobots

- People have the means to create software on their own easily through open source, free software creation tools and advances in computer power.

Why would we be working for a living?

Why would there be any need for people in positions of power?

Why would we have national armies or even war?

Why would there be a need for money in the first place?


We would be living in a state of harmony where technology would do all the hard labor, figure out solutions before there are problems and would essentially run all of our systems. Heck computers will likely achieve some scientific breakthroughs and create great works of art.

Not only that but the AI will be able to improve upon itself further, without our involvement. Heck, computers will improve faster without our involvement at that point.

People would be free to live peacefully with each other doing whatever pleases them, whether it is art, science, sports, whatever. Poverty, war, famine and harsh conditions are therefore a thing of the past.

Now some of you think that this is a dangerous time, especially if AI think for us. Imagery from movies like Terminator, iRobot and many others come to mind where the most powerful AI takes over and tries to enslave or annihilate humanity for its own good.

But I don’t think we can count on science fiction authors to predict everything correctly. After all, 1984 didn’t really happen the way George Orwell depicted after all.

I can’t predict what will happen. But look at the news and the apparent revolutions brewing in the world, for the most part peaceful. Things are changing. Fast, and for the most part the little guy is taking good decisions usurping the great powers that have until today been able to direct the populations along the wrong path.

It’s quite encouraging to see beyond the troubles we see today into a potentially very rewarding future.

Think about it. Think about your involvement in the new world. I hope, like me, you will working on enabling a bright future for us all.

Friday, September 21, 2012

Google your missing shoes in the morning - soon

Once again, I was going through the internet and came across the following article on "Turning physical products into digital information services "

In reality, emitters and microchips (shall we call them nanochips now? almost) are really small and can give large amounts of information and deal with all sorts of weather conditions and situations by being quite tougher thanks to tech. 

There are already smart shirts on the market that measure heartrate and general health levels and can communicate that information to the ambulance if things seem to be going wrong.  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Smart_shirt 

I wouldn't be surprised we didn't have smart shoes, smart glasses, smart everything, where everything is connected to your computer, the cloud etc... in the near future.

Why not your iphone telling you in the morning that you don't have lots of socks left in the drawer (gps devices in socks) and you should do a wash? 

I would love to set up my outfit in the morning, look in the mirror, and say "WOW, this is a great set combination, I'm going to save it."  In the next while, perhaps you want to make the outfit work again, so you bring it up on your smartphone app and the phone tells you if all items are available in your closet/dresser, and if an item is dirty in the hamper, suggest to you another item of the same color as a replacement.

All this is possible with current technology.

The question is, who will pioneer this and disrupt the market with the proper technologies and leverage to bring it global?